Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.68 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBreidablik to win ✗66% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Keflavik vs Breidablik preview and prediction
The match
Breidablik travel to face Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Wednesday 22 April (19:00 WAT). Keflavik are 6th with 30 points from 27 games, while Breidablik sit 5th on 36 points.
Form guide
Keflavik's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Fram Reykjavik 1–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Breidablik's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat IA Akranes 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Keflavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Keflavik and 2.2 for Breidablik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Breidablik to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Keflavik 1–2 Breidablik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keflavik19%fair 5.36 · @3.95
Draw15%fair 6.70 · @3.95
Breidablik66%fair 1.51 · @1.68
3.19Expected goals
1.01Keflavik xG
2.18Breidablik xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Keflavik 1.0 – 2.2 Breidablik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Breidablik to win✗
66%
1.51
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Half-time result
Breidablik ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Breidablik / FT Breidablik✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Keflavik – last 4
LWWW
17 Apr
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Fram Reykjavik
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Ægir
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ Vestri
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Breidablik – last 5
WDLWL
17 Apr
vs IA Akranes
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Leiknir R.
2–3
L
19 Feb
vs FH hafnarfjordur
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Throttur Reykjavik
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and Breidablik.
What is the prediction for Keflavik vs Breidablik?
Our pick is Breidablik to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Keflavik vs Breidablik?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Breidablik 66%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Breidablik?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Breidablik?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–2 Breidablik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs Breidablik?
Keflavik vs Breidablik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.