Value bet: Iraklis Yerolakkou to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthnikos Latsion to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.41
Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou preview and prediction
The match
Ethnikos Latsion host Iraklis Yerolakkou in the 2. Division on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Ethnikos Latsion and 1.1 for Iraklis Yerolakkou. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Iraklis Yerolakkou to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Ethnikos Latsion 1–1 Iraklis Yerolakkou. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethnikos Latsion44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Iraklis Yerolakkou35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
2.38Expected goals
1.28Ethnikos Latsion xG
1.10Iraklis Yerolakkou xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ethnikos Latsion 1.3 – 1.1 Iraklis Yerolakkou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethnikos Latsion to win✗
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethnikos Latsion / FT Ethnikos Latsion✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.41
–
Form
Ethnikos Latsion – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Digenis Morphou
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Iraklis Yerolakkou – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ APEA
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethnikos Latsion and Iraklis Yerolakkou.
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
On our numbers Ethnikos Latsion have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Iraklis Yerolakkou 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
Our predicted score is Ethnikos Latsion 1–1 Iraklis Yerolakkou, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
Ethnikos Latsion vs Iraklis Yerolakkou (2. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Karmiotissa3
Nea Salamis2