Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees Houston Dash W take on Washington Spirit W on Monday 5 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at BBVA Compass Stadium. Houston Dash W are 12th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Washington Spirit W sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Houston Dash W's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Portland Thorns W 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Washington Spirit W's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Angel City W 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Washington Spirit W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Washington Spirit W 2–1 Houston Dash W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.9 for Houston Dash W and 1.6 for Washington Spirit W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Houston Dash W 22%, draw 21%, Washington Spirit W 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Washington Spirit W to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Houston Dash W 0–1 Washington Spirit W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Houston Dash W22%fair 4.51 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
Washington Spirit W57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
2.46Expected goals
0.86Houston Dash W xG
1.60Washington Spirit W xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Houston Dash W 0.9 – 1.6 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our pick is Washington Spirit W to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W?
On our numbers Houston Dash W have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Washington Spirit W 57%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W?
Our predicted score is Houston Dash W 0–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W?
Houston Dash W vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at BBVA Compass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.