Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees Chicago Red Stars W take on Denver Summit W on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium. Chicago Red Stars W are 16th with 17 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Denver Summit W sit 10th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to NJNY Gotham FC W 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.5 conceded.
Denver Summit W's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Kansas City W 1–4 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Denver Summit W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Denver Summit W 6–1 Chicago Red Stars W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Chicago Red Stars W and 2.1 for Denver Summit W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Red Stars W 15%, draw 17%, Denver Summit W 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Denver Summit W to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Denver Summit W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Red Stars W15%fair 6.70 · @6.00
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @4.80
Denver Summit W68%fair 1.47 · @1.33
2.96Expected goals
0.84Chicago Red Stars W xG
2.12Denver Summit W xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 0.8 – 2.1 Denver Summit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?
Our pick is Denver Summit W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?
On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Denver Summit W 68%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?
Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Denver Summit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W?
Chicago Red Stars W vs Denver Summit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
