Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Portland Thorns W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortland Thorns W to win ✗68% · @1.44
Double chancePortland Thorns W or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W preview and prediction
The match
Houston Dash W travel to Providence Park in the NWSL Women on Sunday 27 September (01:45 WAT) to face Portland Thorns W. Portland Thorns W are 6th with 50 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Houston Dash W sit 12th on 33 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portland Thorns W's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Orlando Pride W 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Houston Dash W's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Boston Legacy W 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Portland Thorns W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Portland Thorns W and 0.7 for Houston Dash W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Thorns W 68%, draw 20%, Houston Dash W 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portland Thorns W to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Portland Thorns W 2–0 Houston Dash W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Thorns W68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.20
Houston Dash W12%fair 8.57 · @5.00
2.84Expected goals
2.09Portland Thorns W xG
0.75Houston Dash W xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 2.1 – 0.7 Houston Dash W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win✗
68%
1.47
1.44
Double chance
Portland Thorns W or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Portland Thorns W ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Portland Thorns W – last 6
WDLDWW
19 Sep
@ Orlando Pride W
4–1
W
14 Sep
vs Chicago Red Stars W
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Washington Spirit W
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Denver Summit W
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Orlando Pride W
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Houston Dash W – last 6
WLLLLW
20 Sep
@ Boston Legacy W
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Utah Royals W
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Orlando Pride W
1–3
L
31 Aug
@ Seattle Reign FC W
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Bay FC W
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Chicago Red Stars W
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Houston Dash W.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
Our pick is Portland Thorns W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Houston Dash W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 2–0 Houston Dash W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W?
Portland Thorns W vs Houston Dash W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
