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NWSL Women · USA · Sports Illustrated Stadium

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W prediction & analysis

58%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.83Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultNJNY Gotham FC W to win ✓72% · @1.14
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.70

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W preview and prediction

The match

Chicago Red Stars W travel to Sports Illustrated Stadium in the NWSL Women on Saturday 26 September (01:00 WAT) to face NJNY Gotham FC W. NJNY Gotham FC W are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Chicago Red Stars W sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 44 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

NJNY Gotham FC W's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat North Carolina Courage W 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Washington Spirit W 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

NJNY Gotham FC W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 NJNY Gotham FC W.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for NJNY Gotham FC W and 0.7 for Chicago Red Stars W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NJNY Gotham FC W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

NJNY Gotham FC W72%fair 1.38 · @1.14
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @8.50
Chicago Red Stars W10%fair 10.00 · @11.00
2.98Expected goals
2.27NJNY Gotham FC W xG
0.72Chicago Red Stars W xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: NJNY Gotham FC W 2.3 – 0.7 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNJNY Gotham FC W to win ✓72%1.381.14
Double chanceNJNY Gotham FC W or draw ✓90%1.111.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.741.83 ▲
Half-time resultNJNY Gotham FC W ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT NJNY Gotham FC W / FT NJNY Gotham FC W ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.70–

Form

NJNY Gotham FC W – last 6

WWLDDW
19 Sep@ North Carolina Courage W2–1W
11 Sep@ Racing Louisville W2–1W
6 Sep@ Denver Summit W0–3L
29 Augvs Portland Thorns W1–1D
24 Aug@ Angel City W0–0D
15 Augvs Kansas City W2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chicago Red Stars W – last 6

LDLLWL
20 Sepvs Washington Spirit W0–3L
14 Sep@ Portland Thorns W1–1D
6 Sepvs North Carolina Courage W0–6L
30 Aug@ Denver Summit W1–6L
23 Augvs Racing Louisville W3–2W
20 Aug@ Houston Dash W0–5L
0.8Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Chicago Red Stars W v NJNY Gotham FC W0–2
NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

On our numbers NJNY Gotham FC W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chicago Red Stars W 10%.

How many goals will there be in NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

Our predicted score is NJNY Gotham FC W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?

NJNY Gotham FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.