Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
San Diego Wave W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: San Diego Wave W to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Diego Wave W to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓11% · fair 8.84
Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W preview and prediction
The match
Racing Louisville W host San Diego Wave W in the NWSL Women on Friday 25 September, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Lynn Family Stadium. Racing Louisville W are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while San Diego Wave W sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Racing Louisville W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Bay FC W 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
San Diego Wave W's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Kansas City W 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
San Diego Wave W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished San Diego Wave W 3–2 Racing Louisville W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Racing Louisville W and 2.1 for San Diego Wave W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Louisville W 15%, draw 20%, San Diego Wave W 65%.
Safer route: San Diego Wave W or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.44.
Value angle: San Diego Wave W to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Diego Wave W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Racing Louisville W 0–2 San Diego Wave W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Louisville W15%fair 6.75 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.50
San Diego Wave W65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
2.94Expected goals
0.87Racing Louisville W xG
2.07San Diego Wave W xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Racing Louisville W 0.9 – 2.1 San Diego Wave W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our pick is San Diego Wave W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?
On our numbers Racing Louisville W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Diego Wave W 65%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?
Our predicted score is Racing Louisville W 0–2 San Diego Wave W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W?
Racing Louisville W vs San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
