Double chancePortland Thorns W or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W preview and prediction
The match
Portland Thorns W host Chicago Red Stars W in the NWSL Women on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Providence Park. Portland Thorns W are 6th with 50 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Chicago Red Stars W sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portland Thorns W's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Washington Spirit W 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to North Carolina Courage W 0–6 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Portland Thorns W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Portland Thorns W and 0.8 for Chicago Red Stars W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Thorns W 68%, draw 22%, Chicago Red Stars W 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portland Thorns W to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Portland Thorns W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Thorns W68%fair 1.46 · @1.22
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @5.00
Chicago Red Stars W10%fair 10.07 · @9.00
2.93Expected goals
2.18Portland Thorns W xG
0.75Chicago Red Stars W xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 2.2 – 0.8 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win✗
68%
1.46
1.22
Double chance
Portland Thorns W or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Portland Thorns W ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Portland Thorns W – last 6
LDWWWL
6 Sep
vs Washington Spirit W
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Denver Summit W
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Orlando Pride W
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Boston Legacy W
4–3
W
3 Aug
@ Utah Royals W
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LLWLLD
6 Sep
vs North Carolina Courage W
0–6
L
30 Aug
@ Denver Summit W
1–6
L
23 Aug
vs Racing Louisville W
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ Houston Dash W
0–5
L
15 Aug
@ Seattle Reign FC W
0–1
L
10 Aug
vs Bay FC W
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Chicago Red Stars W.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our pick is Portland Thorns W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chicago Red Stars W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 2–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Portland Thorns W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
