Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W preview and prediction
The match
Chicago Red Stars W host Bay FC W in the NWSL Women on Monday 10 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium. Chicago Red Stars W are 16th with 17 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Bay FC W sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Racing Louisville W 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bay FC W's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Seattle Reign FC W 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Bay FC W 0–1 Chicago Red Stars W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Chicago Red Stars W and 1.8 for Bay FC W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Red Stars W 17%, draw 23%, Bay FC W 60%.
Safer route: Bay FC W or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Bay FC W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Red Stars W17%fair 5.76 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.75
Bay FC W60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
2.71Expected goals
0.88Chicago Red Stars W xG
1.83Bay FC W xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 0.9 – 1.8 Bay FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?
On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bay FC W 60%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?
Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 0–2 Bay FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W?
Chicago Red Stars W vs Bay FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.