Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKansas City W to win ✓62% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees Kansas City W take on Racing Louisville W on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at CPKC Stadium. Kansas City W are 4th with 53 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Racing Louisville W sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kansas City W's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Boston Legacy W 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Racing Louisville W's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Angel City W 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Racing Louisville W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Kansas City W and 1.1 for Racing Louisville W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kansas City W 62%, draw 18%, Racing Louisville W 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Kansas City W 2–1 Racing Louisville W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kansas City W62%fair 1.62 · @1.45
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @4.50
Racing Louisville W21%fair 4.80 · @5.25
3.10Expected goals
2.04Kansas City W xG
1.06Racing Louisville W xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kansas City W 2.0 – 1.1 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kansas City W to win✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Kansas City W ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kansas City W / FT Kansas City W✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Kansas City W – last 6
LDLWLW
25 Jul
@ Boston Legacy W
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs San Diego Wave W
2–2
D
11 Jul
@ Orlando Pride W
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Denver Summit W
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
30 May
vs Boston Legacy W
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Racing Louisville W – last 6
WDLLWW
27 Jul
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs Houston Dash W
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Bay FC W
0–2
L
6 Jul
@ Portland Thorns W
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Toledo Villa W
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ Dayton Dutch Lions W
4–3
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kansas City W and Racing Louisville W.
What is the prediction for Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W?
On our numbers Kansas City W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Racing Louisville W 21%.
How many goals will there be in Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our predicted score is Kansas City W 2–1 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W?
Kansas City W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at CPKC Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
