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NWSL Women · USA · PayPal Park

Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W preview and prediction

The match

Bay FC W host North Carolina Courage W in the NWSL Women on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at PayPal Park. Bay FC W are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while North Carolina Courage W sit 9th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Bay FC W's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Racing Louisville W 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

North Carolina Courage W's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Washington Spirit W 0–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

North Carolina Courage W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished North Carolina Courage W 1–3 Bay FC.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Bay FC W and 1.5 for North Carolina Courage W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bay FC W 1–1 North Carolina Courage W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Bay FC W33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
North Carolina Courage W47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
2.74Expected goals
1.22Bay FC W xG
1.52North Carolina Courage W xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Bay FC W 1.2 – 1.5 North Carolina Courage W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗47%2.142.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%10.21–

Form

Bay FC W – last 6

WDLLLD
11 Jul@ Racing Louisville W2–0W
5 Jul@ Boston Legacy W2–2D
30 May@ Orlando Pride W1–3L
24 Mayvs Chicago Red Stars W0–1L
21 May@ Portland Thorns W0–2L
16 Mayvs Boston Legacy W1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

North Carolina Courage W – last 6

LWWWLL
11 Julvs Washington Spirit W0–2L
5 Julvs Seattle Reign FC W3–1W
1 Jun@ Angel City W2–1W
16 Mayvs Chicago Red Stars W4–0W
9 May@ Orlando Pride W0–1L
2 Mayvs Kansas City W1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026North Carolina Courage W v Bay FC1–3
Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

On our numbers Bay FC W have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and North Carolina Courage W 47%.

How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

Our predicted score is Bay FC W 1–1 North Carolina Courage W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W?

Bay FC W vs North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.