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NWSL Women · USA · Lumen Field

Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPortland Thorns W to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.97

Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W preview and prediction

The match

The NWSL Women sees Seattle Reign FC W take on Portland Thorns W on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Lumen Field. Seattle Reign FC W are 8th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Portland Thorns W sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Seattle Reign FC W's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to North Carolina Courage W 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Portland Thorns W's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Racing Louisville W 4–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Portland Thorns W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Portland Thorns W 2–0 Seattle Reign FC.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Seattle Reign FC W and 1.5 for Portland Thorns W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Seattle Reign FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Seattle Reign FC W30%fair 3.30 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Portland Thorns W48%fair 2.09 · @2.20
2.59Expected goals
1.10Seattle Reign FC W xG
1.48Portland Thorns W xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Seattle Reign FC W 1.1 – 1.5 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortland Thorns W to win ✗48%2.092.20 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W ✗27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.97–

Form

Seattle Reign FC W – last 6

LLWLLD
5 Jul@ North Carolina Courage W1–3L
30 May@ Washington Spirit W1–2L
23 May@ Boston Legacy W2–1W
16 Mayvs NJNY Gotham FC W0–2L
11 Mayvs Washington Spirit W0–1L
5 Aprvs Denver Summit W0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Portland Thorns W – last 6

WDLWDL
6 Julvs Racing Louisville W4–0W
30 Mayvs Utah Royals W2–2D
24 May@ Kansas City W1–3L
21 Mayvs Bay FC W2–0W
17 Mayvs Angel City W0–0D
8 May@ Racing Louisville W1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Portland Thorns W v Seattle Reign FC2–0
Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W head-to-head page →

NWSL Women table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC W301875+1661
2San Diego Wave W301848+1458
3Washington Spirit W301749+1555
4Kansas City W301659+1553
5Angel City W301578+2252
6Portland Thorns W301488+950
7Utah Royals W3014511+547
8Seattle Reign FC W3014511+447
9North Carolina Courage W3014313+1045
10Denver Summit W3011811+1141
11Orlando Pride W3011316-836
12Houston Dash W309615-633
13Boston Legacy W309615-1233
14Bay FC W307617-1727
15Racing Louisville W307320-2424
16Chicago Red Stars W305223-5417

More NWSL Women predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

On our numbers Seattle Reign FC W have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Portland Thorns W 48%.

How many goals will there be in Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Our predicted score is Seattle Reign FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W?

Seattle Reign FC W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.