Value bet: North Carolina Courage W to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign FC W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees North Carolina Courage W take on Seattle Reign FC W on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at WakeMed Soccer Park. North Carolina Courage W are 9th with 45 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Seattle Reign FC W sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
North Carolina Courage W's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Angel City W 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Seattle Reign FC W's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Washington Spirit W 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
North Carolina Courage W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for North Carolina Courage W and 0.7 for Seattle Reign FC W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: North Carolina Courage W 64%, draw 25%, Seattle Reign FC W 11%.
Safer route: North Carolina Courage W or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.77.
Value angle: North Carolina Courage W to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Seattle Reign FC W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
North Carolina Courage W64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
Seattle Reign FC W11%fair 9.06 · @4.33
2.54Expected goals
1.86North Carolina Courage W xG
0.68Seattle Reign FC W xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.9 – 0.7 Seattle Reign FC W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Carolina Courage W to win✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
North Carolina Courage W or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
North Carolina Courage W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
North Carolina Courage W – last 6
WWLLDW
1 Jun
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
16 May
vs Chicago Red Stars W
4–0
W
9 May
@ Orlando Pride W
0–1
L
2 May
vs Kansas City W
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Boston Legacy W
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Houston Dash W
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Seattle Reign FC W – last 6
LWLLDW
30 May
@ Washington Spirit W
1–2
L
23 May
@ Boston Legacy W
2–1
W
16 May
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
11 May
vs Washington Spirit W
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Denver Summit W
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Racing Louisville W
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Seattle Reign FC W.
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign FC W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign FC W?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Seattle Reign FC W 11%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign FC W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign FC W?
Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Seattle Reign FC W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign FC W?
North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign FC W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
