Value bet: Utah Royals W to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtah Royals W to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Portland Thorns W vs Utah Royals W preview and prediction
The match
Portland Thorns W host Utah Royals W in the NWSL Women on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Providence Park. Portland Thorns W are 6th with 50 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Utah Royals W sit 7th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portland Thorns W's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Kansas City W 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Utah Royals W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Denver Summit W 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Utah Royals W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Portland Thorns W and 1.3 for Utah Royals W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Thorns W 35%, draw 24%, Utah Royals W 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Utah Royals W to win at 2.80 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Portland Thorns W 1–1 Utah Royals W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Thorns W35%fair 2.85 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Utah Royals W41%fair 2.44 · @2.80
2.46Expected goals
1.17Portland Thorns W xG
1.29Utah Royals W xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.2 – 1.3 Utah Royals W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utah Royals W to win✗
41%
2.44
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utah Royals W / FT Utah Royals W✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Portland Thorns W – last 6
LWDLWW
24 May
@ Kansas City W
1–3
L
21 May
vs Bay FC W
2–0
W
17 May
vs Angel City W
0–0
D
8 May
@ Racing Louisville W
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs San Diego Wave W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Utah Royals W – last 6
WWWWWD
23 May
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
18 May
vs Racing Louisville W
2–1
W
7 May
vs Houston Dash W
2–0
W
3 May
@ Angel City W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Chicago Red Stars W
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Utah Royals W.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Utah Royals W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Utah Royals W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Utah Royals W 41%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Utah Royals W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Utah Royals W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–1 Utah Royals W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Utah Royals W?
Portland Thorns W vs Utah Royals W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
