Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees Bay FC W take on Chicago Red Stars W on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at PayPal Park. Bay FC W are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Chicago Red Stars W sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Bay FC W's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Portland Thorns W 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to North Carolina Courage W 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Bay FC W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Bay FC W and 0.8 for Chicago Red Stars W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bay FC W 62%, draw 21%, Chicago Red Stars W 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bay FC W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bay FC W62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
Chicago Red Stars W17%fair 5.99 · @5.10
2.54Expected goals
1.77Bay FC W xG
0.77Chicago Red Stars W xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bay FC W 1.8 – 0.8 Chicago Red Stars W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bay FC W to win✗
62%
1.62
1.60
Double chance
Bay FC W or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Bay FC W ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bay FC W / FT Bay FC W✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Bay FC W – last 6
LDWWLW
21 May
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
16 May
vs Boston Legacy W
1–1
D
4 May
@ San Diego Wave W
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Angel City W
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LLWLLL
16 May
@ North Carolina Courage W
0–4
L
30 Apr
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Boston Legacy W
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Utah Royals W
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Orlando Pride W
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bay FC W and Chicago Red Stars W.
What is the prediction for Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
On our numbers Bay FC W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Red Stars W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Our predicted score is Bay FC W 1–0 Chicago Red Stars W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W?
Bay FC W vs Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
