Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
North Carolina Courage W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: North Carolina Courage W to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win57% · @1.95
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.06
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W preview and prediction
The match
North Carolina Courage W travel to Lynn Family Stadium in the NWSL Women on Saturday 23 May (21:00 WAT) to face Racing Louisville W. Racing Louisville W are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while North Carolina Courage W sit 9th on 45 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Racing Louisville W's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Utah Royals W 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
North Carolina Courage W's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Chicago Red Stars W 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
North Carolina Courage W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished North Carolina Courage W 2–1 Racing Louisville W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Racing Louisville W and 2.0 for North Carolina Courage W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Louisville W 17%, draw 25%, North Carolina Courage W 57%.
Safer route: North Carolina Courage W or draw (83%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: North Carolina Courage W to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was North Carolina Courage W or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Racing Louisville W 1–2 North Carolina Courage W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Louisville W17%fair 5.83 · @3.25
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
North Carolina Courage W57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
3.06Expected goals
1.05Racing Louisville W xG
2.01North Carolina Courage W xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Racing Louisville W 1.1 – 2.0 North Carolina Courage W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Carolina Courage W to win
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
North Carolina Courage W or draw
83%
1.21
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
North Carolina Courage W ahead at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W
What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W?
Our pick is North Carolina Courage W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W?
On our numbers Racing Louisville W have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and North Carolina Courage W 57%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W?
Our predicted score is Racing Louisville W 1–2 North Carolina Courage W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W?
Racing Louisville W vs North Carolina Courage W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
