Value bet: Utah Royals W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtah Royals W to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceUtah Royals W or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees Utah Royals W take on Racing Louisville W on Monday 18 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at America First Field. Utah Royals W are 7th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Racing Louisville W sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Utah Royals W's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Houston Dash W 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Racing Louisville W's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Indy Eleven W 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Utah Royals W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Utah Royals W and 0.9 for Racing Louisville W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Utah Royals W 61%, draw 23%, Racing Louisville W 16%.
Safer route: Utah Royals W or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Utah Royals W to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Utah Royals W 2–0 Racing Louisville W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utah Royals W61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Racing Louisville W16%fair 6.30 · @3.80
2.74Expected goals
1.88Utah Royals W xG
0.86Racing Louisville W xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Utah Royals W 1.9 – 0.9 Racing Louisville W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utah Royals W to win✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Utah Royals W or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Utah Royals W ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utah Royals W / FT Utah Royals W✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.19
–
Form
Utah Royals W – last 5
WWWDL
7 May
vs Houston Dash W
2–0
W
3 May
@ Angel City W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Chicago Red Stars W
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs San Diego Wave W
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Racing Louisville W – last 6
DWLLLD
14 May
@ Indy Eleven W
1–1
D
8 May
vs Portland Thorns W
3–1
W
30 Apr
@ Washington Spirit W
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Houston Dash W
3–4
L
28 Mar
@ Seattle Reign FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Washington Spirit W
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utah Royals W and Racing Louisville W.
What is the prediction for Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W?
On our numbers Utah Royals W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Racing Louisville W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W?
Our predicted score is Utah Royals W 2–0 Racing Louisville W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W?
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at America First Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
