Value bet: Washington Spirit W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWashington Spirit W to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceWashington Spirit W or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.42
Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W preview and prediction
The match
Washington Spirit W travel to Lumen Field in the NWSL Women on Monday 11 May (00:00 WAT) to face Seattle Reign FC. Seattle Reign FC are 8th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Washington Spirit W sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Seattle Reign FC's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Denver Summit W 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Washington Spirit W's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Racing Louisville W 1–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Seattle Reign FC and 1.8 for Washington Spirit W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Seattle Reign FC 14%, draw 23%, Washington Spirit W 64%.
Safer route: Washington Spirit W or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Washington Spirit W to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Seattle Reign FC 0–1 Washington Spirit W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Seattle Reign FC14%fair 7.31 · @3.95
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Washington Spirit W64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
2.42Expected goals
0.67Seattle Reign FC xG
1.76Washington Spirit W xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Seattle Reign FC 0.7 – 1.8 Washington Spirit W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Washington Spirit W to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Washington Spirit W or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Washington Spirit W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Washington Spirit W / FT Washington Spirit W✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.42
–
Form
Seattle Reign FC – last 4
DWWL
5 Apr
vs Denver Summit W
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Racing Louisville W
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Kansas City W
3–0
W
21 Mar
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Washington Spirit W – last 5
WWDDL
30 Apr
vs Racing Louisville W
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Kansas City W
4–0
W
26 Mar
vs Utah Royals W
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Racing Louisville W
2–2
D
14 Mar
vs Portland Thorns W
0–1
L
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Seattle Reign FC and Washington Spirit W.
What is the prediction for Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?
On our numbers Seattle Reign FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Washington Spirit W 64%.
How many goals will there be in Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?
Our predicted score is Seattle Reign FC 0–1 Washington Spirit W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W?
Seattle Reign FC vs Washington Spirit W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
