Value bet: Utah Royals W to win @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtah Royals W to win54% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.03
Bay FC vs Utah Royals W preview and prediction
The match
Bay FC host Utah Royals W in the NWSL Women on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at PayPal Park. Bay FC are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Utah Royals W sit 7th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bay FC's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat San Diego Wave W 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Utah Royals W's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Houston Dash W 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Bay FC and 1.6 for Utah Royals W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bay FC 24%, draw 22%, Utah Royals W 54%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Utah Royals W to win at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bay FC 0–1 Utah Royals W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bay FC24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Utah Royals W54%fair 1.85 · @2.05
2.55Expected goals
0.95Bay FC xG
1.60Utah Royals W xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bay FC 1.0 – 1.6 Utah Royals W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utah Royals W to win
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utah Royals W / FT Utah Royals W
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.03
–
Form
Bay FC – last 4
WWLW
4 May
@ San Diego Wave W
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Angel City W
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Utah Royals W – last 5
WWWDL
7 May
vs Houston Dash W
2–0
W
3 May
@ Angel City W
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Chicago Red Stars W
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs San Diego Wave W
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bay FC and Utah Royals W.
What is the prediction for Bay FC vs Utah Royals W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bay FC vs Utah Royals W?
On our numbers Bay FC have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Utah Royals W 54%.
How many goals will there be in Bay FC vs Utah Royals W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bay FC vs Utah Royals W?
Our predicted score is Bay FC 0–1 Utah Royals W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bay FC vs Utah Royals W?
Bay FC vs Utah Royals W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
