Double chanceSan Diego Wave W or draw ✗86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.01
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC preview and prediction
The match
Bay FC travel to Snapdragon Stadium in the NWSL Women on Monday 4 May (00:00 WAT) to face San Diego Wave W. San Diego Wave W are 2nd with 58 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Bay FC sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Diego Wave W's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Portland Thorns W 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bay FC's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat North Carolina Courage W 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
San Diego Wave W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for San Diego Wave W and 0.8 for Bay FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Diego Wave W 69%, draw 18%, Bay FC 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: San Diego Wave W 2–0 Bay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Diego Wave W69%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.20
Bay FC14%fair 7.25 · @6.75
2.85Expected goals
2.08San Diego Wave W xG
0.77Bay FC xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: San Diego Wave W 2.1 – 0.8 Bay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Diego Wave W to win✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Double chance
San Diego Wave W or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
San Diego Wave W ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Diego Wave W / FT San Diego Wave W✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
San Diego Wave W – last 6
LWWWWW
30 Apr
@ Portland Thorns W
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Denver Summit W
3–2
W
4 Apr
@ Boston Legacy W
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Chicago Red Stars W
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Portland Thorns W
3–1
W
23 Mar
@ Utah Royals W
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bay FC – last 3
WLW
29 Mar
@ North Carolina Courage W
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Angel City W
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Diego Wave W and Bay FC.
What is the prediction for San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?
On our numbers San Diego Wave W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bay FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?
Our predicted score is San Diego Wave W 2–0 Bay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC?
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC (NWSL Women) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
