Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W prediction & analysis
73%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortland Thorns W to win61% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.41
Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W preview and prediction
The match
Chicago Red Stars W host Portland Thorns W in the NWSL Women on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at SeatGeek Stadium. Chicago Red Stars W are 16th with 17 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Portland Thorns W sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chicago Red Stars W's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to NJNY Gotham FC W 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Portland Thorns W's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat San Diego Wave W 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portland Thorns W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Chicago Red Stars W and 1.7 for Portland Thorns W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Red Stars W 20%, draw 19%, Portland Thorns W 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chicago Red Stars W 0–1 Portland Thorns W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Red Stars W20%fair 5.06 · @4.33
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.55
Portland Thorns W61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
2.55Expected goals
0.82Chicago Red Stars W xG
1.73Portland Thorns W xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Chicago Red Stars W 0.8 – 1.7 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Thorns W to win
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Thorns W / FT Portland Thorns W
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.41
–
Form
Chicago Red Stars W – last 6
LWLLLL
30 Apr
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs Boston Legacy W
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Utah Royals W
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Orlando Pride W
0–3
L
16 Mar
@ Angel City W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portland Thorns W – last 6
WWDLWW
30 Apr
vs San Diego Wave W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Angel City W
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ North Carolina Courage W
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Seattle Reign FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Red Stars W and Portland Thorns W.
What is the prediction for Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers Chicago Red Stars W have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Portland Thorns W 61%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is Chicago Red Stars W 0–1 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W?
Chicago Red Stars W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at SeatGeek Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
