North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
North Carolina Courage W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: North Carolina Courage W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W preview and prediction
The match
The NWSL Women sees North Carolina Courage W take on Portland Thorns W on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at WakeMed Soccer Park. North Carolina Courage W are 9th with 45 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Portland Thorns W sit 6th on 50 points (in the top half).
Form guide
North Carolina Courage W's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Bay FC 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Portland Thorns W's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to San Diego Wave W 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portland Thorns W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for North Carolina Courage W and 0.7 for Portland Thorns W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: North Carolina Courage W 61%, draw 22%, Portland Thorns W 17%.
Safer route: North Carolina Courage W or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: North Carolina Courage W to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was North Carolina Courage W or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Portland Thorns W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
North Carolina Courage W61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Portland Thorns W17%fair 5.85 · @3.55
2.43Expected goals
1.69North Carolina Courage W xG
0.74Portland Thorns W xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.7 – 0.7 Portland Thorns W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Carolina Courage W to win✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
North Carolina Courage W or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.73
–
Form
North Carolina Courage W – last 3
LDW
29 Mar
vs Bay FC
1–3
L
21 Mar
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Racing Louisville W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portland Thorns W – last 3
LWW
26 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Seattle Reign FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Portland Thorns W.
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our pick is North Carolina Courage W or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Portland Thorns W 17%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Portland Thorns W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W?
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
