Value bet: North Carolina Courage W to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorth Carolina Courage W to win ✗60% · @1.77
Double chanceNorth Carolina Courage W or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC preview and prediction
The match
Bay FC travel to WakeMed Soccer Park in the NWSL Women on Sunday 29 March (00:00 WAT) to face North Carolina Courage W. North Carolina Courage W are 9th with 45 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Bay FC sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for North Carolina Courage W and 0.8 for Bay FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: North Carolina Courage W 60%, draw 21%, Bay FC 18%.
Safer route: North Carolina Courage W or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: North Carolina Courage W to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Bay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
North Carolina Courage W60%fair 1.65 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Bay FC18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
2.54Expected goals
1.73North Carolina Courage W xG
0.81Bay FC xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: North Carolina Courage W 1.7 – 0.8 Bay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Carolina Courage W to win✗
60%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Double chance
North Carolina Courage W or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Carolina Courage W / FT North Carolina Courage W✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.31
–
Form
North Carolina Courage W – last 2
DW
21 Mar
@ NJNY Gotham FC W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Racing Louisville W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bay FC – last 2
LW
22 Mar
vs Angel City W
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Denver Summit W
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Carolina Courage W and Bay FC.
What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?
On our numbers North Carolina Courage W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bay FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?
Our predicted score is North Carolina Courage W 1–0 Bay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC?
North Carolina Courage W vs Bay FC (NWSL Women) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at WakeMed Soccer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
