Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W prediction & analysis
73%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Portland Thorns W to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultKansas City W to win40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 10.34
Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W preview and prediction
The match
Portland Thorns W host Kansas City W in the NWSL Women on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Providence Park. Portland Thorns W are 6th with 50 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Kansas City W sit 4th on 53 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portland Thorns W's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to San Diego Wave W 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Portland Thorns W and 1.4 for Kansas City W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Thorns W 37%, draw 23%, Kansas City W 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Portland Thorns W to win at 2.88 – 37% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Portland Thorns W 1–1 Kansas City W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Thorns W37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
Kansas City W40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
2.64Expected goals
1.29Portland Thorns W xG
1.35Kansas City W xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Portland Thorns W 1.3 – 1.4 Kansas City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kansas City W to win
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kansas City W / FT Kansas City W
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
10.34
–
Form
Portland Thorns W – last 3
LWW
26 Mar
@ San Diego Wave W
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Seattle Reign FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Washington Spirit W
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kansas City W – last 1
L
26 Mar
@ Seattle Reign FC
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Thorns W and Kansas City W.
What is the prediction for Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W?
On our numbers Portland Thorns W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kansas City W 40%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W?
Our predicted score is Portland Thorns W 1–1 Kansas City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W?
Portland Thorns W vs Kansas City W (NWSL Women) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Providence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
