Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ahed to win ✓64% · @1.45
Double chanceAl Ahed or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Al Ahed take on Shabab Al Sahel on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Beirut Municipal Stadium. Al Ahed are 4th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Shabab Al Sahel sit 9th on 4 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Al Ahed's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Safa 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shabab Al Sahel's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Reyady Abaseya 3–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Al Ahed and 0.6 for Shabab Al Sahel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahed 64%, draw 24%, Shabab Al Sahel 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Ahed to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Al Ahed 1–0 Shabab Al Sahel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahed64%fair 1.55 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.80
Shabab Al Sahel12%fair 8.43 · @6.00
2.42Expected goals
1.78Al Ahed xG
0.63Shabab Al Sahel xG
41%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Ahed 1.8 – 0.6 Shabab Al Sahel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahed to win✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Double chance
Al Ahed or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Al Ahed ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahed / FT Al Ahed✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.30
–
Form
Al Ahed – last 6
WLWLWD
24 Jun
vs Safa
4–1
W
20 Jun
@ Al Ansar
1–3
L
16 Jun
vs Al Hikma
1–0
W
12 Jun
@ Al Nejmeh
0–1
L
12 May
@ Al Ansar
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Tadamon Sour
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shabab Al Sahel – last 5
WWLLL
24 Jun
vs Reyady Abaseya
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Racing
2–0
W
12 Jun
vs Safa
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Al Ansar
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Al Hikma
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahed and Shabab Al Sahel.
What is the prediction for Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Our pick is Al Ahed to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
On our numbers Al Ahed have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shabab Al Sahel 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Our predicted score is Al Ahed 1–0 Shabab Al Sahel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Beirut Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
