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Liga 3 · Georgia · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLokomotivi Tbilisi to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi preview and prediction

The match

Merani Tbilisi travel to Mikheil Meskhi Stadium in the Liga 3 on Friday 16 October (15:00 WAT) to face Lokomotivi Tbilisi. Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 8th with 40 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Merani Tbilisi sit 5th on 43 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Lokomotivi Tbilisi's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Didube 2014 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Merani Tbilisi's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Iveria Khashuri 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.

Merani Tbilisi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Merani Tbilisi 1–0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Lokomotivi Tbilisi and 1.4 for Merani Tbilisi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2–1 Merani Tbilisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lokomotivi Tbilisi41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Merani Tbilisi37%fair 2.69 · @2.55
2.83Expected goals
1.45Lokomotivi Tbilisi xG
1.38Merani Tbilisi xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1.5 – 1.4 Merani Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotivi Tbilisi to win ✗41%2.472.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotivi Tbilisi / FT Lokomotivi Tbilisi ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Form

Lokomotivi Tbilisi – last 6

WWLDDW
9 Oct@ Didube 20143–1W
17 Sepvs Irao2–0W
9 Sep@ WIT Georgia1–2L
3 Sepvs Varketili3–3D
27 Aug@ Dinamo Tbilisi II1–1D
20 Augvs Gonio4–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Merani Tbilisi – last 6

DDWWWW
9 Octvs Iveria Khashuri2–2D
17 Sep@ Iberia 20102–2D
10 Sepvs Kolkheti Khobi4–1W
3 Sep@ Margveti 20062–0W
27 Augvs Gardabani4–1W
20 Aug@ Betlemi2–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Merani Tbilisi v Lokomotivi Tbilisi1–0
Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Guria271953+6462
2Varketili271791+4560
3FC Iberia 1999 II2714103+3352
4Gonio271557+1650
5Merani Tbilisi271278+243
6Dinamo Tbilisi II271269+742
7WIT Georgia2712510+941
8Lokomotivi Tbilisi271179+740
9Irao2710611+836
10Didube 201427999+136
11Margveti 20062710413-1034
12Kolkheti Khobi278514-1629
13Iveria Khashuri2741112-1423
14Iberia 2010274518-4217
15Gardabani274419-4716
16Betlemi274419-6316

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

On our numbers Lokomotivi Tbilisi have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Merani Tbilisi 37%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

Our predicted score is Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2–1 Merani Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi?

Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.