Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaburtalo II to win ✓53% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi preview and prediction
The match
Merani Tbilisi travel to Stadioni Bendela in the Liga 3 on Thursday 7 May (14:00 WAT) to face Saburtalo II. Saburtalo II are 3rd with 52 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Merani Tbilisi sit 5th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Saburtalo II's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Didube 2014 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Merani Tbilisi's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Saburtalo II and 1.1 for Merani Tbilisi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saburtalo II 53%, draw 20%, Merani Tbilisi 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Saburtalo II 2–1 Merani Tbilisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saburtalo II53%fair 1.89 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.40
Merani Tbilisi27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
3.24Expected goals
2.15Saburtalo II xG
1.09Merani Tbilisi xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Saburtalo II 2.1 – 1.1 Merani Tbilisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo II to win✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Saburtalo II ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo II / FT Saburtalo II✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Saburtalo II – last 6
DWLWDW
3 May
@ Didube 2014
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Irao
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ WIT Georgia
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Guria
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Varketili
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Merani Tbilisi – last 6
WWWDLW
3 May
vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Iveria Khashuri
3–0
W
24 Apr
vs Iberia 2010
2–0
W
16 Apr
@ Kolkheti Khobi
3–3
D
9 Apr
vs Margveti 2006
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Gardabani
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saburtalo II and Merani Tbilisi.
What is the prediction for Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
On our numbers Saburtalo II have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Merani Tbilisi 27%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo II 2–1 Merani Tbilisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi?
Saburtalo II vs Merani Tbilisi (Liga 3) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Bendela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
