Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Irao to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIrao to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.26
Saburtalo II vs Irao preview and prediction
The match
Irao travel to Stadioni Bendela in the Liga 3 on Wednesday 29 April (13:00 WAT) to face Saburtalo II. Saburtalo II are 3rd with 52 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Irao sit 9th on 36 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Saburtalo II's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to WIT Georgia 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Irao's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Irao arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Saburtalo II and 1.3 for Irao. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saburtalo II 36%, draw 21%, Irao 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Irao to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Saburtalo II 1–1 Irao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saburtalo II36%fair 2.76 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Irao42%fair 2.36 · @2.62
2.50Expected goals
1.18Saburtalo II xG
1.32Irao xG
61%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Saburtalo II 1.2 – 1.3 Irao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irao to win✗
42%
2.36
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irao / FT Irao✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.26
–
Form
Saburtalo II – last 6
LWDWDW
24 Apr
@ WIT Georgia
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Guria
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Varketili
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi II
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Gonio
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Lokomotivi Tbilisi
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Irao – last 6
WWWLWW
24 Apr
vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Iveria Khashuri
3–2
W
9 Apr
vs Iberia 2010
4–0
W
2 Apr
@ Kolkheti Khobi
0–1
L
25 Mar
vs Margveti 2006
3–1
W
12 Mar
@ Gardabani
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saburtalo II and Irao.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Saburtalo II vs Irao?
On our numbers Saburtalo II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Irao 42%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo II vs Irao?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo II vs Irao?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo II 1–1 Irao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo II vs Irao?
Saburtalo II vs Irao (Liga 3) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Bendela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
