Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Gonio to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaburtalo II to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Saburtalo II vs Gonio preview and prediction
The match
Saburtalo II host Gonio in the Liga 3 on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadioni Bendela. Saburtalo II are 3rd with 52 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Gonio sit 4th on 50 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gonio's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Saburtalo II and 1.1 for Gonio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saburtalo II 39%, draw 23%, Gonio 38%.
Value angle: Gonio to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Saburtalo II 1–1 Gonio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saburtalo II39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Gonio38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.23Expected goals
1.12Saburtalo II xG
1.11Gonio xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Saburtalo II 1.1 – 1.1 Gonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo II to win✗
39%
2.56
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo II / FT Saburtalo II✗
20%
4.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.28
–
Form
Saburtalo II – last 2
WD
12 Mar
@ Lokomotivi Tbilisi
4–1
W
5 Mar
vs Iveria Khashuri
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gonio – last 3
WWW
25 Mar
vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Iveria Khashuri
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Iberia 2010
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saburtalo II and Gonio.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Saburtalo II vs Gonio?
On our numbers Saburtalo II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gonio 38%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo II vs Gonio?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo II vs Gonio?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo II 1–1 Gonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo II vs Gonio?
Saburtalo II vs Gonio (Liga 3) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Bendela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
