Value bet: Gareji to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGareji to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.27
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji preview and prediction
The match
Gareji travel to Tsentraluri Stadioni in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 24 October (18:00 WAT) to face Aragvi Dusheti. Aragvi Dusheti are 6th with 43 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Gareji sit 1st on 57 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aragvi Dusheti's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Samtredia 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Gareji's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Telavi 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Gareji 0–2 Aragvi Dusheti. Across their last 2 meetings Aragvi Dusheti have won 1, Gareji 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Aragvi Dusheti and 1.3 for Gareji. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Gareji to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Gareji. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aragvi Dusheti36%fair 2.76 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Gareji40%fair 2.53 · @2.70
2.46Expected goals
1.20Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.27Gareji xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 1.2 – 1.3 Gareji expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gareji 40%.
How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Gareji, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
