Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga 2 sees Samtredia take on Aragvi Dusheti on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium. Samtredia are 4th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Aragvi Dusheti sit 6th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Samtredia's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Sioni 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aragvi Dusheti's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Telavi 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Samtredia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Aragvi Dusheti 2–4 Samtredia. Across their last 3 meetings Samtredia have won 2, Aragvi Dusheti 1, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for Samtredia and 0.7 for Aragvi Dusheti. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Samtredia to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Samtredia 2–0 Aragvi Dusheti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samtredia71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @5.25
Aragvi Dusheti7%fair 13.57 · @9.50
3.12Expected goals
2.37Samtredia xG
0.74Aragvi Dusheti xG
45%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Samtredia 2.4 – 0.7 Aragvi Dusheti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our pick is Samtredia to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
On our numbers Samtredia have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aragvi Dusheti 7%.
How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our predicted score is Samtredia 2–0 Aragvi Dusheti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
