Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamtredia to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceSamtredia or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.45
Samtredia vs Sioni preview and prediction
The match
Sioni travel to Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT) to face Samtredia. Samtredia are 4th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Sioni sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Samtredia's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Rustavi 1–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sioni's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Aragvi Dusheti 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Samtredia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished Sioni 3–2 Samtredia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Samtredia and 1.0 for Sioni. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Samtredia 58%, draw 22%, Sioni 20%.
Safer route: Samtredia or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Samtredia to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Samtredia 1–0 Sioni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samtredia58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Sioni20%fair 4.98 · @3.80
2.87Expected goals
1.87Samtredia xG
1.00Sioni xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Samtredia 1.9 – 1.0 Sioni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Samtredia to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Samtredia vs Sioni?
On our numbers Samtredia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sioni 20%.
How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Sioni?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Sioni?
Our predicted score is Samtredia 1–0 Sioni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Samtredia vs Sioni?
Samtredia vs Sioni (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
