Value bet: Sioni to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerani Martvili to win ✓38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.35
Merani Martvili vs Sioni preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga 2 sees Merani Martvili take on Sioni on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Merani Martvili are 5th with 43 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sioni sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Merani Martvili's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Aragvi Dusheti 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sioni's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Kolkheti Poti 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sioni arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Sioni 2–0 Merani Martvili. Across their last 2 meetings Merani Martvili have won 1, Sioni 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Merani Martvili and 1.2 for Sioni. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Sioni to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Merani Martvili 1–1 Sioni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merani Martvili38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Sioni38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
2.44Expected goals
1.22Merani Martvili xG
1.21Sioni xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.2 – 1.2 Sioni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sioni 38%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 1–1 Sioni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Merani Martvili vs Sioni (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
