Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTelavi to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceTelavi or draw ✗87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Telavi vs Samtredia preview and prediction
The match
Samtredia travel to Kavkasioni Arena in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Monday 7 September (17:00 WAT) to face Telavi. Telavi are 3rd with 47 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Samtredia sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Telavi's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Sioni 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samtredia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FC Iberia 1999 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samtredia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Samtredia 0–3 Telavi. Across their last 2 meetings Telavi have won 2, Samtredia 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Telavi and 0.7 for Samtredia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Telavi 63%, draw 24%, Samtredia 13%.
Safer route: Telavi or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Telavi to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Telavi 1–0 Samtredia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Telavi63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Samtredia13%fair 7.87 · @3.80
2.51Expected goals
1.81Telavi xG
0.70Samtredia xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Telavi 1.8 – 0.7 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Telavi to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Telavi vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Telavi have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samtredia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Telavi vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Telavi vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Telavi 1–0 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Telavi vs Samtredia?
Telavi vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kavkasioni Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
