Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShturmi to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceShturmi or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Shturmi vs Samtredia preview and prediction
The match
Samtredia travel to Sartichala Central Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 22 August (17:00 WAT) to face Shturmi. Shturmi are 2nd with 49 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Samtredia sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shturmi's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Sioni 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samtredia's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Gori 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Samtredia 2–1 Shturmi. Across their last 2 meetings Shturmi have won 1, Samtredia 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Shturmi and 0.7 for Samtredia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Shturmi to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shturmi 1–0 Samtredia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shturmi65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
Samtredia14%fair 7.11 · @4.33
2.59Expected goals
1.86Shturmi xG
0.73Samtredia xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shturmi 1.9 – 0.7 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Shturmi to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Shturmi vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Shturmi have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Samtredia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Shturmi vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shturmi vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Shturmi 1–0 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shturmi vs Samtredia?
Shturmi vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sartichala Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
