Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Sioni to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSioni to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Sioni vs Shturmi preview and prediction
The match
Shturmi travel to Tamaz Stepania Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 15 August (16:00 WAT) to face Sioni. Sioni are 7th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Shturmi sit 2nd on 49 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sioni's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Gori 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shturmi's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Merani Martvili 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Sioni 1–1 Shturmi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sioni and 1.0 for Shturmi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sioni 44%, draw 22%, Shturmi 34%.
Value angle: Sioni to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Sioni 1–1 Shturmi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sioni44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Shturmi34%fair 2.96 · @2.55
2.25Expected goals
1.23Sioni xG
1.02Shturmi xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sioni 1.2 – 1.0 Shturmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sioni vs Shturmi?
On our numbers Sioni have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shturmi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sioni vs Shturmi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sioni vs Shturmi?
Our predicted score is Sioni 1–1 Shturmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sioni vs Shturmi?
Sioni vs Shturmi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tamaz Stepania Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
