Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia preview and prediction
The match
Samtredia travel to Tsentraluri Stadioni in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday 8 August (18:00 WAT) to face Aragvi Dusheti. Aragvi Dusheti are 6th with 43 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Samtredia sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aragvi Dusheti's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Guria 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Samtredia's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Shturmi 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Aragvi Dusheti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Samtredia 2–0 Aragvi Dusheti. Across their last 2 meetings Aragvi Dusheti have won 1, Samtredia 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Aragvi Dusheti and 1.3 for Samtredia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Aragvi Dusheti 2–1 Samtredia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aragvi Dusheti44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Samtredia35%fair 2.82 · @2.88
2.70Expected goals
1.44Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.26Samtredia xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 1.4 – 1.3 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Samtredia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 2–1 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia?
Aragvi Dusheti vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
