Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Samtredia to win @ 4.33 – our chance 30% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSioni to win ✓47% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.84
Sioni vs Samtredia preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga 2 sees Sioni take on Samtredia on Monday 22 June, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Tamaz Stepania Stadium. Sioni are 7th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Samtredia sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sioni's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Aragvi Dusheti 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Samtredia's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Merani Martvili 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Sioni and 1.5 for Samtredia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sioni 47%, draw 24%, Samtredia 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Samtredia to win at 4.33 – 30% on our numbers against 23% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sioni 1–1 Samtredia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sioni47%fair 2.15 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Samtredia30%fair 3.38 · @4.33
2.85Expected goals
1.33Sioni xG
1.52Samtredia xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sioni 1.3 – 1.5 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sioni to win✓
47%
2.15
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samtredia / FT Samtredia✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.84
–
Form
Sioni – last 6
LWDDLD
17 Jun
@ Aragvi Dusheti
2–3
L
13 Jun
vs Merani Martvili
2–0
W
30 May
@ Kolkheti Poti
0–0
D
24 May
vs Gareji
1–1
D
20 May
@ Telavi
1–2
L
6 May
vs Gori
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Samtredia – last 6
LDLLDW
17 Jun
@ Merani Martvili
1–2
L
13 Jun
vs Kolkheti Poti
2–2
D
30 May
@ Gareji
2–3
L
24 May
vs Telavi
0–3
L
20 May
@ Odishi 1919
1–1
D
6 May
vs Aragvi Dusheti
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sioni and Samtredia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sioni vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Sioni have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samtredia 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sioni vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sioni vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Sioni 1–1 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sioni vs Samtredia?
Sioni vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tamaz Stepania Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
