Merani Martvili vs Samtredia prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Merani Martvili to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerani Martvili to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceMerani Martvili or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia preview and prediction
The match
Merani Martvili host Samtredia in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday 17 June, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Merani Martvili are 5th with 43 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Samtredia sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Merani Martvili's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Sioni 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Samtredia's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Kolkheti Poti 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Samtredia 1–4 Merani Martvili.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Merani Martvili and 0.8 for Samtredia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Safer route: Merani Martvili or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Merani Martvili to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Merani Martvili 1–0 Samtredia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merani Martvili62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
Samtredia16%fair 6.38 · @4.10
2.60Expected goals
1.82Merani Martvili xG
0.78Samtredia xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.8 – 0.8 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
Our pick is Merani Martvili to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samtredia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 1–0 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
