Value bet: Telavi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamtredia to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.89
Samtredia vs Telavi preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga 2 sees Samtredia take on Telavi on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium. Samtredia are 4th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Telavi sit 3rd on 47 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Samtredia's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Odishi 1919 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Telavi's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Sioni 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Telavi 2–0 Samtredia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Samtredia and 1.1 for Telavi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Samtredia 42%, draw 24%, Telavi 34%.
Value angle: Telavi to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Samtredia 1–1 Telavi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samtredia42%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Telavi34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
2.45Expected goals
1.30Samtredia xG
1.15Telavi xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Samtredia 1.3 – 1.1 Telavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Samtredia vs Telavi?
On our numbers Samtredia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Telavi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Telavi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Telavi?
Our predicted score is Samtredia 1–1 Telavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Samtredia vs Telavi?
Samtredia vs Telavi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
