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Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Tsentraluri Stadioni
Sun 10 May 2026

Gareji

WDWWL

Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGareji to win49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.65

Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji preview and prediction

The match

The Erovnuli Liga 2 sees Aragvi Dusheti take on Gareji on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Tsentraluri Stadioni. Aragvi Dusheti are 6th with 43 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Gareji sit 1st on 57 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Aragvi Dusheti's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Samtredia 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Gareji's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Telavi 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Gareji arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Gareji 1–0 Aragvi Dusheti.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Aragvi Dusheti and 1.3 for Gareji. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Aragvi Dusheti 0–1 Gareji. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Aragvi Dusheti29%fair 3.49 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Gareji49%fair 2.03 · @2.10
2.13Expected goals
0.86Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.27Gareji xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 0.9 – 1.3 Gareji expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGareji to win49%2.032.10
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.80–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.641.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals83%1.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gareji / FT Gareji27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115%6.65–

Form

Aragvi Dusheti – last 6

LWLLWL
6 May@ Samtredia0–2L
22 Aprvs Odishi 19192–1W
7 Aprvs Shturmi0–2L
3 Apr@ Kolkheti Poti1–3L
15 Marvs Gori1–0W
11 Mar@ Gareji0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gareji – last 6

WDWWLW
6 Mayvs Telavi2–0W
2 May@ Odishi 19191–1D
22 Aprvs Gori1–0W
7 Aprvs Sioni2–0W
3 Apr@ Merani Martvili0–1L
15 Marvs Kolkheti Poti2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Gareji v Aragvi Dusheti1–0
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?

On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gareji 49%.

How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?

Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 0–1 Gareji, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?

Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.