Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGareji to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chanceGareji or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
Gareji vs Sioni preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga 2 sees Gareji take on Sioni on Tuesday 7 April, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Central stadium. Gareji are 1st with 57 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Sioni sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gareji's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Merani Martvili 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Sioni's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Telavi 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Gareji and 0.6 for Sioni. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 40%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gareji 65%, draw 22%, Sioni 13%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gareji to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Gareji 1–0 Sioni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gareji65%fair 1.54 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.90
Sioni13%fair 7.47 · @4.75
2.29Expected goals
1.70Gareji xG
0.60Sioni xG
40%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gareji 1.7 – 0.6 Sioni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gareji to win✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Double chance
Gareji or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Gareji ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gareji / FT Gareji✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.84
–
Form
Gareji – last 3
LWW
3 Apr
@ Merani Martvili
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Kolkheti Poti
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Aragvi Dusheti
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sioni – last 3
WDD
3 Apr
vs Telavi
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Odishi 1919
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Shturmi
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gareji and Sioni.
Our pick is Gareji to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Gareji vs Sioni?
On our numbers Gareji have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sioni 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gareji vs Sioni?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gareji vs Sioni?
Our predicted score is Gareji 1–0 Sioni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gareji vs Sioni?
Gareji vs Sioni (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Central stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
