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K League 1 · South-Korea · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
3–2
FT

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Daejeon Citizen to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC preview and prediction

The match

Gwangju FC travel to Daejeon World Cup Stadium in the K League 1 on Sunday 18 October (06:00 WAT) to face Daejeon Citizen. Daejeon Citizen are 3rd with 53 points from 35 games, while Gwangju FC sit 12th on 23 points. A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Daejeon Citizen's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Gwangju FC's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 4–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Daejeon Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Daejeon Citizen 2–0 Gwangju FC. Across their last 2 meetings Daejeon Citizen have won 2, Gwangju FC 0, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Daejeon Citizen and 0.9 for Gwangju FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Daejeon Citizen to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Gwangju FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Daejeon Citizen64%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.75
Gwangju FC16%fair 6.07 · @6.50
2.85Expected goals
1.99Daejeon Citizen xG
0.86Gwangju FC xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Daejeon Citizen 2.0 – 0.9 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓64%1.551.36
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓84%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Half-time resultDaejeon Citizen ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Daejeon Citizen / FT Daejeon Citizen ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.71–

Form

Daejeon Citizen – last 6

DWDWDW
13 Oct@ SHANGHAI SIPG1–1D
9 Octvs Jeonbuk Motors2–1W
20 Sep@ Incheon United1–1D
15 Sepvs Kyoto Sanga1–0W
12 Sepvs Pohang Steelers2–2D
9 Sepvs FC Anyang3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gwangju FC – last 6

WDDLDL
11 Octvs Ulsan Hyundai FC4–3W
20 Sep@ Jeonbuk Motors2–2D
13 Sepvs FC Anyang1–1D
9 Sepvs Jeju United FC0–1L
6 Sep@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–2D
30 Augvs FC Seoul2–5L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC2–0
2 May 2026Gwangju FC v Daejeon Citizen0–5
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

Our pick is Daejeon Citizen to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

On our numbers Daejeon Citizen have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gwangju FC 16%.

How many goals will there be in Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

Our predicted score is Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.