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K League 1 · South-Korea · Gwangju Football Stadium
4–3
FT

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Ulsan Hyundai FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceUlsan Hyundai FC or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC preview and prediction

The match

Gwangju FC host Ulsan Hyundai FC in the K League 1 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Gwangju Football Stadium. Gwangju FC are 12th with 23 points from 35 games, while Ulsan Hyundai FC sit 2nd on 57 points. A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Gwangju FC's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Jeonbuk Motors 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Ulsan Hyundai FC's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to FC Anyang 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Ulsan Hyundai FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Gwangju FC 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC. Across their last 2 meetings Gwangju FC have won 0, Ulsan Hyundai FC 1, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Gwangju FC and 2.0 for Ulsan Hyundai FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Ulsan Hyundai FC to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Gwangju FC 0–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Gwangju FC14%fair 7.15 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.90
Ulsan Hyundai FC62%fair 1.63 · @1.65
2.82Expected goals
0.86Gwangju FC xG
1.96Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%

From our goals model: Gwangju FC 0.9 – 2.0 Ulsan Hyundai FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✗62%1.631.65
Double chanceUlsan Hyundai FC or draw ✗86%1.161.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Half-time resultUlsan Hyundai FC ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulsan Hyundai FC / FT Ulsan Hyundai FC ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.16–

Form

Gwangju FC – last 6

DDLDLD
20 Sep@ Jeonbuk Motors2–2D
13 Sepvs FC Anyang1–1D
9 Sepvs Jeju United FC0–1L
6 Sep@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–2D
30 Augvs FC Seoul2–5L
26 Aug@ Gangwon FC2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ulsan Hyundai FC – last 6

LWWDWL
19 Sep@ FC Anyang1–2L
12 Sepvs Incheon United2–1W
8 Sepvs FC Seoul1–0W
5 Sep@ Jeju United FC0–0D
29 Augvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC3–1W
26 Aug@ Daejeon Citizen1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC1–1
19 Apr 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC v Gwangju FC5–1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Our pick is Ulsan Hyundai FC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ulsan Hyundai FC 62%.

How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 0–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.