Value bet: Gangwon FC to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGangwon FC to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC preview and prediction
The match
Gangwon FC travel to Gimcheon Stadium in the K League 1 on Sunday 13 September (08:30 WAT) to face Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38 points from 35 games, while Gangwon FC sit 4th on 51 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Pohang Steelers 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gangwon FC's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Jeonbuk Motors 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gangwon FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Gangwon FC 2–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Across their last 2 meetings Gimcheon Sangmu FC have won 0, Gangwon FC 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 1.1 for Gangwon FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 35%, draw 25%, Gangwon FC 40%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Gangwon FC to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–1 Gangwon FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimcheon Sangmu FC35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Gangwon FC40%fair 2.49 · @2.75
2.16Expected goals
1.03Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
1.13Gangwon FC xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.0 – 1.1 Gangwon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC?
On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gangwon FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC?
Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–1 Gangwon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gangwon FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
