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K League 1 · South-Korea · Jeju World Cup Stadium

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC preview and prediction

The match

Gimcheon Sangmu FC travel to Jeju World Cup Stadium in the K League 1 on Saturday 22 August (11:30 WAT) to face Jeju United FC. Jeju United FC are 7th with 48 points from 35 games, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 10th on 38 points.

Form guide

Jeju United FC's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to FC Anyang 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Gimpo Citizen 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FC. Across their last 2 meetings Jeju United FC have won 0, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Jeju United FC and 1.2 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Jeju United FC37%fair 2.71 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Gimcheon Sangmu FC39%fair 2.57 · @2.70
2.36Expected goals
1.16Jeju United FC xG
1.20Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.2 – 1.2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗39%2.572.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.77
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.67–

Form

Jeju United FC – last 6

LWWLDD
19 Aug@ FC Anyang1–2L
15 Augvs FC Anyang2–0W
8 Aug@ Jeonbuk Motors3–1W
4 Augvs Bayern München1–2L
2 Augvs Incheon United3–3D
29 Julvs Hwaseong2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6

LDDWWW
19 Aug@ Gimpo Citizen1–2L
16 Aug@ Incheon United1–1D
8 Augvs FC Seoul0–0D
1 Aug@ Pohang Steelers1–0W
29 Julvs Suwon City FC2–1W
25 Julvs Daejeon Citizen3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Jeju United FC1–1
18 Apr 2026Jeju United FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 39%.

How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.