Value bet: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIncheon United to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Incheon United take on Gimcheon Sangmu FC on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Sungui Arena Park. Incheon United are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 10th on 38 points.
Form guide
Incheon United's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Jeju United FC 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with FC Seoul 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–3 Incheon United. Across their last 2 meetings Incheon United have won 2, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Incheon United and 1.0 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Incheon United 47%, draw 22%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win at 3.70 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Incheon United 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Incheon United47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Gimcheon Sangmu FC31%fair 3.26 · @3.70
2.43Expected goals
1.39Incheon United xG
1.04Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–09%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.4 – 1.0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 31%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
