Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Gangwon FC to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGangwon FC to win ✗51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.22
Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC preview and prediction
The match
Jeju United FC host Gangwon FC in the K League 1 on Tuesday 21 July, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Jeju World Cup Stadium. Jeju United FC are 7th with 48 points from 35 games, while Gangwon FC sit 4th on 51 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jeju United FC's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Pohang Steelers 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gangwon FC's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gangwon FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Gangwon FC 1–1 Jeju United FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.8 for Jeju United FC and 1.3 for Gangwon FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jeju United FC 25%, draw 23%, Gangwon FC 51%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Gangwon FC to win at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Jeju United FC 0–1 Gangwon FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jeju United FC25%fair 3.94 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Gangwon FC51%fair 1.95 · @2.25
2.09Expected goals
0.79Jeju United FC xG
1.30Gangwon FC xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Jeju United FC 0.8 – 1.3 Gangwon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC?
On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gangwon FC 51%.
How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC?
Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 0–1 Gangwon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC?
Jeju United FC vs Gangwon FC (K League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.