Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Bucheon FC 1995 to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Gimcheon Sangmu FC take on Bucheon FC 1995 on Saturday 11 July, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Gimcheon Stadium. Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38 points from 35 games, while Bucheon FC 1995 sit 11th on 33 points.
Form guide
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Jeju United FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bucheon FC 1995's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Daejeon Citizen 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Bucheon FC 1995 0–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 1.0 for Bucheon FC 1995. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 46%, draw 22%, Bucheon FC 1995 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Bucheon FC 1995 to win at 3.75 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimcheon Sangmu FC46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.25
Bucheon FC 199532%fair 3.15 · @3.75
2.26Expected goals
1.28Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
0.99Bucheon FC 1995 xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.3 – 1.0 Bucheon FC 1995 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bucheon FC 1995 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
