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K League 1 · South-Korea · Gimcheon Stadium

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.02

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC preview and prediction

The match

Gimcheon Sangmu FC host Jeju United FC in the K League 1 on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Gimcheon Stadium. Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38 points from 35 games, while Jeju United FC sit 7th on 48 points.

Form guide

Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Jeonbuk Motors 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Jeju United FC's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to FC Anyang 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 1.2 for Jeju United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Gimcheon Sangmu FC38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Jeju United FC38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
2.37Expected goals
1.19Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
1.18Jeju United FC xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.2 – 1.2 Jeju United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗38%2.632.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC ✗20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.02–

Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6

LDLLWW
17 May@ Jeonbuk Motors0–1L
13 May@ FC Anyang2–2D
9 Mayvs Incheon United0–3L
5 Mayvs Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
2 May@ FC Seoul3–2W
25 Apr@ Bucheon FC 19952–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Jeju United FC – last 6

LLWLLW
17 Mayvs FC Anyang1–2L
13 May@ Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
9 Mayvs FC Seoul2–1W
2 Mayvs Jeonbuk Motors0–2L
25 Apr@ Incheon United0–1L
22 Apr@ Daejeon Citizen1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Jeju United FC v Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jeju United FC 38%.

How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.